Weekly Technical Analysis –“SPX Tactically Toppish” 29th March16
Another week quickly comes around and the major macro event, following on from the ultra easy ECB, was the soothing dovish Fed. Price has reacted positively for the bulls with the sp500 making margin...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Markets Vulnerable” 5th April16
Another week rolls by. Asset classes, sp500 and nas100 aside, are confirming the bearish macro landscape for risk assets and continuation of the cyclical bear. Without a new price breakout by key US...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“2080 to 2100 Big Resistance Zone” 13th April16 V2
From failed moves come fast moves and indeed we can see we have a failed bear attempt here. Looking across asset markets the bears had a momentum. There was a window in which instruments converged to...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Highs in Risk This Week Setting up Significant...
Back in Dec15 when the bear move started, it was pretty clear that the move was early and needed to be tested before this multi year bull market was truly toast. On the most recent wave of the risk...
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Technical Analysis Cycles Update – Is It 1998 All Over Again? 24th April16
Lets start with some words of wisdom from a man whose trading record makes him one of the modern trading masters. “I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong. I basically have survived by recognizing...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Still A Distributive Top Building Process” 27th...
We have a complex multi asset technical stand off here with price not confirming either bear or bull camp either way here. And on initial price confirmation we have to also be prepared for a...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“SP500 2033/2022 As Initial Target” 4th May16
Markets have moved lower and volatility has stepped up across fx and rest of world equities but alas not the US indexes as yet. US longs are not panicking as yet and so another micro bounce attempt at...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“SP500 Minor Low Confirmed”– 11th May16
Price moves are getting choppy here. We getting caught up between levels and instruments are losing their medium term correlations on the short term time frames. This is all indicative of a market...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Sp500 Corrective Top” 18th May 2016
The market has continued to chop up and the short term correlations are diverging from their medium and longer term correlations indication market indecision here (and for bears the end of the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis –“Complex Wave 4 Cyclical Bear or Wave 5” 25th May...
We have a high momentum daily bar here across some key sectors and indexes. In many cases the end April highs are close at hand. We need to keep a careful watch on these levels here as well as the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Asset Markets Looking For A Trend – 1st June16
Another week rolls by and the recent bull rally takes a breath. This next wave is crucial and should determine whether we are still in a wave 4 or have already started a wave 5 of this asset bull...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis – Divergent Trends ROW vs US – 13th June16
The reports this week i’m releasing today and later in the week a V2 as the Swiss team remain on holiday for one more week. Their first report back is the 21st of June ie next Tuesday. I wonder what...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Break Setup in SPX, Gold, USD, and Bonds”– 22nd...
Its make or break time indeed. Im in a rush unfortunately so this post will be updated later today and tomorrow. Technically some levels to the upside which need to be broken to confirm this, Dax...
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Weekly Technical Analysis –“Cyclical Bear Market” 29th June 2016 V2
What a week it has been. We have seen volatility to the upside and then crashing downward across risk on. The Sp500 broke her 2025 level and her 200 dma. She is bouncing here to currently her 50%...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Europe On The Edge” 6th July16
Another week roles by and pricing of risk assets continues to diverge between US risk and world risk. US risk continues to be well bid vs the rest of the world. With the sp500 still close to record...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Breakout or Fake” 13th July16
Another good week for risk assets across the world but lead again by the strong US equity indexes of the sp500 and Dow Jones. The sp500 has made new record highs but lead by utilities, consumer...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Make or Break Across Risk” 20th July16
Another week has gone by but right across international risk there is very little new evidence from price here. We can look across US sectors like the small caps or russel2000 or transports or banking...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Risk’s Breakout Confirmed but Tactically Toppish”...
The Swiss team latest report has concluded that wave 5 is underway though near term we are tactically toppish which is likely to get resolved in August to allow for the rally to resume into Sept. Some...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Crude Close to Key Supports” 5th Aug16
We have drifted in to August and so holiday season is upon us. The swiss team have broken for holidays until later in the month but the usual suspects from GS and Citi are still at work. Across risk...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Near Term Tactically Overbought – 16th Aug16
The guys are back from their holidays but with a shortened report here. They pick up on the renewal of the commodity bull story which is the headline story in asset markets for me. Note GL, Anto, BHP...
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