Weekly Technical Analysis –“Watch the US$” 24th August 2016
Markets have maintained a holiday like atmosphere with narrow trading ranges for several weeks now as volatility reduces across all asset classes. This, as the Swiss team suggest, is likely to change...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Vulnerable, Watch US$ & Rates & Japan 30th...
Its been an interesting week which seemed to strengthen those forecasting a stronger US$, higher rates and lower bond prices. This week the team have broadened their report to pick up on the very same...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis – SP500 to 2250, Breakout US EU Banks 6th Sept16
Its been a very shallow trading range over the last month or so. We have some momentum coming back into the market as is so often the case in early September. I’m traveling unfortunately but i bring...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis – SPX 8 to 10% Correction to End Oct – 14th Sept16
Volatility has indeed jumped and so summer is officially over. The Swiss team have made a significant shift in their forecasts and have called the important medium term top on risk markets as in. In...
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Weekly Technical Analysis –“Near Term Bounce Before October Falls”– 20th...
So we have the bounce in risk and this becomes an important point to check the technicals on the progress of this attempt to rejoin and sustain the bull trend. To recap, it is especially important...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“More Distribution pre Oct Falls” 28th Sept16
Guys, ive been sailing and traveling and so posting this has been a little more complex than intended especially my internet down in the mountains. On the basis that markets wait for no one I post up...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“SP500 Top Projection This Week” 4th Oct16
Another week rolls past and this low volatility distribution continues for most asset classes, GBP and bullion aside. This is a very mature bull market so its no wonder that risk asset volatility has...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“SP500 Make or Break” 12th October16
Asset prices are moving. We appear to have moved beyond chop to something more meaningful, even for US equities. The best way to explain this is via the instruments. Particularly the US$ index and...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“More Tactical Weakness to Come” 19th Oct16 V2
Its all about the US$, rates and US equity indexes. The dollar has broken out but needs to take a breath, rates have bounced considerably higher on the short end and following on from last week we have...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“SP500 Cash Testing 2120”
After last week’s holiday from providing a release this week we have a bumper catch up release. We have major movements across risk asset markets. Equity indexes have a tactical correction in play with...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Risk Base Forming, Buy Weakness” 9th Nov16
Its been a very significant week for risk markets. We have seen the complete reversal of the cyclical weakness themes vs defensive strength. Transports and Financials and other cyclical themes have...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Buy Dips in Cyclicals” 16th Nov17
The market continues to provide very strong bullish signals here. We have excellent breath in terms of number of stocks hitting new 52 week highs. The rotation to cyclical stocks supports the general...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“SPX Overbought, Gold Basing” 23rd Nov16
Another excellent week if you are involved in the long usd risk assets funded by borrowing other currencies. The Russell2000, Financials and Transports have provided the beta and in measured in the...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis – US Cyclicals Overbought & Sentiment Spikes 29th...
Firstly, apologies for the delay in posting this weeks report. I have been traveling and it proved impossible to post. We have extremes of over bought conditions for US equities, the US$ and...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“Distribution Ahead”– 7th Dec16
Another strong week rolls by. We have strong seasonal winds here blowing us towards a positive end of year for risk, us$ risk included. But in the coming 3 weeks US$ risk may have lost its alpha crown...
View ArticleChristmas Technical Analysis –“Grade B” 24th Dec17
So another year is nearly over and what a year it has been for both markets and the geopolitical landscape. Numbers wise, on the surface a year of the US$ and US equities, once again. As always we...
View ArticleAnnual Technical Analysis Outlook –“Wave 5 Boom & Bust”– Jan 2017
It gives me great pleasure to start 2017 with the usual award winning Annual Technical Outlook report from the guys. Of course none of of have a crystal ball but of all the thousands of reports I have...
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Weekly Technical Analysis –“SP500 2234 Key Support”– 18th Jan17
Welcome back and to the first weekly technical analysis post of 2017. What a phenomenal run up we have had since early November16 across most risk assets, even including the eurostoxx50 eventually. The...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“US$ Near Low” 25th Jan17
I am traveling once again but very aware that participants are waiting this report and markets have momentum and are moving fast. So without delay i’m post this report up and will update in flight...
View ArticleWeekly Technical Analysis –“SP500 Corrective Pull Back” 2nd Feb17
We have indeed had a false breakout in some risk sectors and indexes but the reversal was hard and fast a pretty good signal of the false break. The US$ is indeed becoming more selective with one of...
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